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2026-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% -

Actual: George Mason Patriots -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Decker Jr. 40 7-16 1-6 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 17 6 -
Z. Cleveland 39 2-7 0-0 5-6 6 7 0 0 2 9 13 -
C. Porter 38 3-11 3-7 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 10 4 -
J. Smith 31 7-9 2-2 7-8 9 1 1 0 1 23 24 -
Z. Carter 25 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
J. Harper 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 3 3 0 8 14 -
Z. Yates 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Long 40 9-17 4-7 5-6 1 4 0 0 1 27 14 -
K. Mincy 39 6-17 1-5 3-4 9 1 2 0 2 16 9 -
R. Allenspach 25 2-8 0-2 5-5 5 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
E. Kanga 25 3-7 0-0 6-7 10 0 0 2 1 12 16 -
D. Booker 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 2 4 -
M. Troutman 19 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
S. Sivka 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
M. Presley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Adebayo 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
N. Ellington 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter