Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +8 (93-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young | 36 | 12-21 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 36 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 32 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chennedy Carter | 25 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 35 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 33 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| P. Astier | 31 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 31 | 9-19 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| M. Johannes | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| R. Carrera | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter