Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +10 (89-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rae Burrell * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Erica Wheeler * | 24 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ariel Atkins * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Emma Cannon * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Monique Akoa Makani | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tonie Morgan | 18 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chance Gray | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jihyun Park | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chelsea Gray * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jewell Loyd | 20 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dana Evans | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mai Yamamoto | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ta'Niya Latson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter