Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +19 (96-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Caldwell * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Napheesa Collier * | 13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Natasha Howard * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dorka Juhasz | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chloe Bibby | 25 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aari McDonald | 21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Liatu King | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nia Brodie | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Antonia Delaere | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 32 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Aliyah Boston * | 29 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Makayla Timpson * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lexie Hull * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 29 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Raven Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter