Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -12 (81-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 29 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 29 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pauline Astier * | 27 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rebecca Allen | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rebekah Gardner | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannes | 10 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Xu Han | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marine Fauthoux | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Miles * | 34 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Napheesa Collier * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Natasha Howard * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maya Caldwell | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dorka Juhasz | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nia Brodie | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter