Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Toronto Tempo | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.3% | 11.7% | -11.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Tempo -18 (85-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 33 | 12-17 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Caitlin Clark * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 12-12 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Aliyah Boston * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lexie Hull * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Makayla Timpson * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mercedes Russell | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Raven Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Tempo
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Harrison * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 6-11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Laura Juskaite * | 30 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Julie Allemand * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kiki Rice * | 28 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Temi Fagbenle * | 25 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Teonni Key | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ornella Bankole | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zaay Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter