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2026-09-17

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.6 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings +20 (97-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nneka Ogwumike * 28 8-12 2-3 0-0 7 4 1 0 18 - -
Rae Burrell * 24 5-14 1-4 1-1 1 4 0 0 12 - -
Ariel Atkins * 22 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Dearica Hamby * 20 5-9 0-1 4-8 4 1 2 1 14 - -
Erica Wheeler * 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 - -
Monique Akoa Makani 25 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Cameron Brink 23 4-16 0-3 1-2 5 1 2 4 9 - -
Tonie Morgan 19 2-8 0-3 3-4 0 4 3 0 7 - -
Aaliyah Nye 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Shyanne Sellers 8 1-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arike Ogunbowale * 27 4-11 1-7 2-2 3 4 2 0 11 - -
Jessica Shepard * 27 6-11 0-0 1-2 11 12 1 0 13 - -
Paige Bueckers * 25 8-13 1-5 2-2 6 3 2 0 19 - -
Maddy Siegrist * 23 5-10 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 12 - -
Awak Kuier * 22 2-3 1-1 2-3 5 1 0 6 7 - -
Aziaha James 17 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 1 2 0 10 - -
Kitija Laksa 15 4-8 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Li Yueru 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 - -
Alysha Clark 10 3-3 1-1 2-3 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Odyssey Sims 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Christyn Williams 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Haley Jones 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 - -

* = starter