Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +44 (103-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saniya Rivers * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gianna Kneepkens * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Edwards * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa * | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ashlon Jackson | 31 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nell Angloma | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hailey Van Lith | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Raegan Beers | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 28 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 25 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 22 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 20 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sika Kone | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Indya Nivar | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter