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Atlanta Dream 78
@
Los Angeles Sparks 71
2026-08-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 92.5% 7.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 76.8% 23.2% - ✓
Margin 84.2% 15.8% -9.2 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% - ✓
Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.6% 16.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 67.2% 32.8% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel Reese * 38 4-14 0-0 3-4 26 3 3 0 11 - -
Jordin Canada * 34 4-9 0-3 1-2 4 4 1 0 9 - -
Naz Hillmon * 33 5-8 2-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 12 - -
Allisha Gray * 32 7-11 2-6 4-5 3 6 0 0 20 - -
Rhyne Howard * 31 7-21 2-12 2-2 6 3 1 0 18 - -
Isobel Borlase 16 2-8 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Madina Okot 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Te-Hina Paopao 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ariel Atkins * 32 3-9 2-5 2-2 1 6 2 1 10 - -
Nneka Ogwumike * 29 11-19 0-2 5-5 16 0 0 0 27 - -
Dearica Hamby * 26 6-11 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 1 15 - -
Erica Wheeler * 25 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Monique Akoa Makani * 19 0-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Cameron Brink 24 5-9 1-4 4-5 8 2 3 5 15 - -
Chance Gray 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Tonie Morgan 14 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Jihyun Park 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter