Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +7 (109-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 32 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Aliyah Boston * | 30 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Makayla Timpson * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lexie Hull * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 27 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mercedes Russell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 33 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Pauline Astier * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rebecca Allen | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannes | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xu Han | 11 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rebekah Gardner | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter