Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +11 (98-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers * | 36 | 11-21 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Awak Kuier * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Odyssey Sims * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alysha Clark | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maddy Siegrist | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sug Sutton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Li Yueru | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haley Jones | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 35 | 9-21 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Caitlin Clark * | 34 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aliyah Boston * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Makayla Timpson * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lexie Hull * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 16 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Raven Johnson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grace VanSlooten | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter