Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +20 (95-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kahleah Copper * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyara Linskens | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held | 15 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Marta Suarez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron * | 27 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Shakira Austin * | 25 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kiki Iriafen * | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Georgia Amoore * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cotie McMahon | 19 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lauren Betts | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alicia Florez | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cassandre Prosper | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Angela Dugalic | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lucy Olsen | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter