Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -5 (101-106). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kahleah Copper * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 7-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum | 20 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kamilla Cardoso * | 27 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 26 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Sydney Taylor * | 16 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aicha Coulibaly * | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jacy Sheldon | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DiJonai Carrington | 20 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 7-12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter