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2026-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 85.7% 14.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 83.7% 16.3% - โœ“
Margin 84.9% 15.1% -9.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm -10 (95-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelsey Mitchell * 34 9-18 4-7 6-6 2 2 1 0 28 - -
Caitlin Clark * 33 9-14 4-7 10-10 4 7 1 1 32 - -
Monique Billings * 29 4-6 0-0 6-6 11 1 0 1 14 - -
Lexie Hull * 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Aliyah Boston * 10 4-7 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Makayla Timpson 28 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Sophie Cunningham 23 3-6 3-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Tyasha Harris 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Myisha Hines-Allen 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Awa Fam * 34 4-13 1-6 2-2 5 2 0 1 11 - -
Natisha Hiedeman * 34 11-20 6-10 5-8 6 4 0 0 33 - -
Jade Melbourne * 29 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 8 - -
Jordan Horston * 26 3-7 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Flau'jae Johnson * 24 4-15 0-6 8-9 3 2 2 1 16 - -
Stefanie Dolson 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Zia Cooke 15 2-8 2-3 4-6 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Katie Lou Samuelson 11 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 5 - -
Mackenzie Holmes 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Taina Mair 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter