Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Toronto Tempo | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Tempo -9 (80-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.