Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Tempo | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.