Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (78-87). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 31 | 9-17 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 17 | +0.9 |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 27 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 5 | +11.0 |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +9.6 |
| Monique Billings * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Aliyah Boston * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Tyasha Harris | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7.4 |
| Lexie Hull | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Damiris Dantas | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Makayla Timpson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Raven Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.3 |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 10 | -4.9 |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -6.1 |
| Dearica Hamby * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | -6.7 |
| Rae Burrell * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Ariel Atkins * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -11.7 |
| Erica Wheeler | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Cameron Brink | 18 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Chance Gray | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Ta'Niya Latson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.2 |
* = starter