Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Carr | 34 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Kohler | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Cooper | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Scott | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Teng | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ward | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Fort | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Wojcik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Karaban | 37 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Reed Jr. | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| S. Ball | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Mullins | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Demary Jr. | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Ross | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| E. Reibe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Stewart | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter