Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Coen Carr | 34 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +12.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -13.9 |
| Jordan Scott | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +7.0 |
| Kur Teng | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Cameron Ward | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Trey Fort | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Denham Wojcik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban | 37 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2.2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +1.1 |
| Solo Ball | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Braylon Mullins | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Silas Demary Jr. | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Jayden Ross | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +9.4 |
| Malachi Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Eric Reibe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +8.6 |
* = starter