Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | +10.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +16 (73-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent * | 37 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Skyy Clark * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Xavier Booker * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Trent Perry * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +11.0 |
| Eric Freeny | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Brandon Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Jamar Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Steven Jamerson II | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jack Seidler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban * | 36 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | +4.5 |
| Braylon Mullins * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | +8.0 |
| Malachi Smith * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5.9 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 | +4.8 |
| Solo Ball * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.1 |
| Jayden Ross | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Silas Demary Jr. | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +10.1 |
| Eric Reibe | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Uros Paunovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Jacob Furphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Alec Millender | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Dwayne Koroma | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter