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2026-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - โœ—
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ— (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - โœ—

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 50 7-20 4-12 10-11 2 4 2 0 8 28 8 -
Romi Levy 44 6-12 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 13 7 -
P. Clark 42 7-10 3-4 3-5 7 4 1 0 2 20 20 -
C. Weimar 30 4-5 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 2 3 12 14 -
Sa'Myah Smith 28 1-3 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 3 8 -
Tabitha Amanze 27 2-7 0-0 0-1 6 3 1 1 3 4 5 -
Adeang Ring 15 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
G. White 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Hurd 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Brown 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 49 8-22 3-9 2-4 5 3 2 0 5 21 4 -
H. Stuelke 49 7-12 0-0 1-6 19 6 1 1 3 15 27 -
T. Stremlow 49 2-13 1-10 0-0 2 7 4 0 3 5 2 -
K. Feuerbach 48 1-7 1-7 1-2 7 5 1 2 0 4 12 -
A. Heiden 36 11-22 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 1 4 26 8 -
J. Houston 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
A. Deal 4 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Hays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter