Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -10 (76-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins | 36 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Mason Falslev | 35 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Drake Allen | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Adlan Elamin | 30 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Karson Templin | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Garry Clark | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Zach Keller | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kolby King | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Elijah Perryman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Perkins | 38 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bryce Lindsay | 37 | 9-18 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Acaden Lewis | 37 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Duke Brennan | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Devin Askew | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Malachi Palmer | 21 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Braden Pierce | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Jeffrey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter