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2026-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +33.1 โœ“ (27.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 5.6% 94.4% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Francis Folefac 40 7-16 2-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 18 10 +8.9
Riley Mulvey 40 3-9 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 6 7 +10.5
Brendan Coyle 40 4-9 4-9 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 12 8 +7.4
Gavin Doty 40 7-20 3-12 4-4 4 2 2 0 0 21 9 +7.5
Justice Shoats 40 4-11 0-1 0-0 6 7 1 1 2 8 10 +11.4
Christian Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cay. Boozer 39 9-16 1-4 0-0 2 5 2 0 0 19 12 -0.3
Cam. Boozer 39 4-11 1-5 13-14 13 3 0 1 5 22 23 +7.0
Isaiah Evans 32 6-14 2-8 2-3 10 1 0 0 1 16 12 -2.4
Dame Sarr 31 1-7 0-4 3-4 2 2 1 2 0 5 5 -7.8
Maliq Brown 26 3-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 6 9 -7.9
Nikolas Khamenia 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -7.8
Darren Harris 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.8

* = starter