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2026-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mackenzie Nelson 36 1-8 1-2 2-2 3 6 2 1 1 5 8 -3.7
Carys Baker 29 8-15 5-8 0-0 14 1 0 2 1 21 22 -8.5
Kilah Freelon 28 2-7 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 0 0 5 4 -6.6
Carleigh Wenzel 26 2-12 0-5 5-8 1 3 0 0 2 9 -1 -13.7
Samyha Suffren 20 0-5 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 1 -2 -2.3
Melannie Daley 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 +6.2
Leila Wells 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 -2 +2.6
Kayl Petersen 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 +1.2
Sophie Swanson 6 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 +1.1
Aniya Trent 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.4

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Fiso 35 9-12 1-1 3-8 3 4 1 2 1 22 19 +14.2
Mia Jacobs 32 5-8 3-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 13 8 +18.2
Sofia Bell 31 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 0 3 +8.3
Ari Long 30 3-7 1-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 4 7 7 +16.3
Ehis Etute 23 4-12 0-0 3-5 11 1 0 1 2 11 10 +13.7
Avary Cain 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 +6.7
Amina Muhammad 14 2-4 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -6.8
Sarah Rambus 10 3-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 3 8 4 -1.9
Astera Tuhina 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -11.8
Filippa Tilliander 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2
Janiyah Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sara Barhoum 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sammie Wagner 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter