🐻⬇️🏀

Villanova Wildcats 52
@
Texas Tech Lady Raiders 57
2026-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Texas Tech Lady Raiders Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - ✓

Actual: Texas Tech Lady Raiders +5 (57-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jasmine Bascoe 40 9-21 1-8 2-2 4 4 2 0 6 21 4 -
Denae Carter 36 1-7 1-4 1-2 4 3 2 2 3 4 5 -
Brynn McCurry 29 5-11 0-3 3-3 9 2 0 0 3 13 10 -
Kelsey Joens 28 5-8 4-6 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 14 9 -
Kennedy Henry 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Dani Ceseretti 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 -
Kylee Watson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Ryanne Allen 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
MD Ntambue 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Tech Lady Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Maupin 37 4-13 2-6 7-7 3 2 1 1 4 17 7 -
G. Nuñez 35 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Fritz 34 5-6 3-4 0-0 3 0 3 2 2 13 13 -
S. Collins 27 3-8 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
Jada Malone 24 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 1 2 0 3 8 8 -
J. Bristow 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 3 1 -
S. Sanogo 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -
S. Love 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter