Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (82-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nicastro | 36 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 13 | - |
| A. Meadows | 33 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Koby Reed | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Shetley | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Brownfield | 27 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| M. Davis | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Bowman | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Eggena | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Skrobot | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Herrig | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Holthaus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elina Aarnisalo | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| I. Nivar | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Grant | 25 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| N. Brooks | 23 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| N. Harris | 22 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| C. Toomey | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| L. Hull | 17 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| T. Queiroz | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Henderson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Zubich | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Astakhova | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Barker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter