Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Anumgba | 36 | 11-22 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| E. Weaver | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Carruthers | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Dykstra | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Diala | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. VandenBosch | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Evyn Carrier | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Cole | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Puot | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Kingery | 40 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Karsyn Norman | 39 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Bree Salenbien | 39 | 13-20 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Aniss Tagayi | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tessa Towers | 27 | 2-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Zhen Verburgt | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alba Caballero | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Giorgia Gorini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter