Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnea Donahue | 38 | 2-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Paige Kohler | 37 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Kaia Woods | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Lauren Gerken | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jasmine Fearne | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Taya Ellis | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Joniyah Bland-Fitzpatrick | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emily Siesel | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ky'Aira Miller | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jaedyn Cook | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Laila Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendal Moxey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Kingery | 38 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Bree Salenbien | 36 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Karsyn Norman | 31 | 1-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Aniss Tagayi | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Tessa Towers | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Alba Caballero | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zhen Verburgt | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Giorgia Gorini | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zuri Ransom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter