Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | -2.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -2 (66-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | +9.1 |
| Jordan Pope * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +5.0 |
| Tramon Mark * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +8.2 |
| Matas Vokietaitis * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Camden Heide * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Chendall Weaver | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | +3.0 |
| Nic Codie | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -1.8 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Williams * | 39 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Quadir Copeland * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Tre Holloman * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +6.5 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Matt Able | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Musa Sagnia | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Scottie Ebube | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
* = starter