Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +6.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (76-66). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Villa * | 38 | 4-15 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Ally Schimel * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kennedie Shuler * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tiara Bolden * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Lizzy Williamson * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Lara Alonso-Basurto | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nene Sow | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 28 | 9-20 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Smith * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jaiden Haile | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Teryn Gardner | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Paige Lofing | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Julia Wilson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter