Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brumfield | 39 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Weeks | 36 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 14-14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 17 | - |
| D. Binet | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| I. Hart | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Lewis | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| I. Taveras | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Tramble | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Izay | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Brandon | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 36 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | - |
| D. Hall | 35 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| F. Emmou | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| K. Gumbs | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Sant | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Davis | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Willis | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Bolden | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Fields | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter