Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | +20.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +24.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +23 (83-60). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karly Weathers * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Jessica Timmons * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Diana Collins * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -4 | +6.1 |
| Naomi Jones * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Ta'Mia Scott * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -15.1 |
| Ace Austin | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Joy Egbuna | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +10.6 |
| Waiata Jennings | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Lourdes Da Silva Costa | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.9 |
| Tianna Chambers | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +17.2 |
| Alancia Ramsey | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Reychel Douglas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Leah Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lee * | 28 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +13.8 |
| Rori Harmon * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +13.5 |
| Madison Booker * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | +20.2 |
| Justice Carlton * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Breya Cunningham * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9.7 |
| Kyla Oldacre | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | +12.3 |
| Bryanna Preston | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Aaliyah Crump | 19 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -12.2 |
| Ashton Judd | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -12.6 |
| Teya Sidberry | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Sarah Graves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter