Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | +14.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys +4 (84-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III * | 47 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +8.9 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. * | 47 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Julien Gomez * | 41 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +11.2 |
| Koree Cotton * | 39 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 17 | +26.6 |
| Filip Brankovic * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +10.3 |
| Kwo Agwa | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Dane Christensen | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.5 |
| Always Wright | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Demarris Winters | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.7 |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garwey Dual * | 49 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | -8.5 |
| Javohn Garcia * | 48 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -10.6 |
| Larry Johnson * | 40 | 11-29 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | -16.5 |
| Tyshawn Archie * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Jerrell Colbert * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -21.2 |
| DJ Richards | 29 | 5-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +14.3 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Peitok Machar | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Yanis Ndjonga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.7 |
* = starter