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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 61.9% 38.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 โœ— (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—

Actual: Little Rock Trojans -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ca. Taylor 37 2-11 1-6 2-4 4 3 2 1 3 7 3 -
D. Jackson 36 5-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 12 7 -
R. Nsabua 35 2-7 0-1 5-9 10 8 0 0 3 9 17 -
Z. Rixter 29 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 2 1 0 5 6 -
L. McCully 23 4-8 3-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 13 9 -
Kerra Jones 23 2-6 0-1 6-10 7 0 0 1 1 10 11 -
A. Williams 17 5-8 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
N. Dunn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Holman 37 8-14 1-3 9-13 17 1 4 1 4 26 31 -
Destinee Salgado 33 4-11 0-1 3-6 9 2 0 0 1 11 10 -
Mya Cotto 33 3-11 0-4 1-3 3 1 2 0 4 7 -2 -
Alaina Payne 32 1-6 0-1 6-6 6 2 1 0 3 8 8 -
Brenna Burk 28 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Blessing Teamer 20 3-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Jarahle Daniels 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
Lidia Belmonte Hurtado 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Pearson McVay 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Taelor Coxford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Naomi Smitherman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter