Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | +11.2 | β (3.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.8 | β (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | β |
Actual: Florida Gators +8 (71-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh * | 39 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -4 | +4.1 |
| Denzel Aberdeen * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -4.0 |
| Collin Chandler * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Malachi Moreno * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2.5 |
| A. JelaviΔ * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -10.4 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +7.7 |
| Brandon Garrison | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Jasper Johnson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +9.7 |
| Kam Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Trent Noah | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Condon * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 21 | +2.5 |
| Boogie Fland * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -5 | +13.8 |
| Thomas Haugh * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 9-10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +14.7 |
| Xaivian Lee * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -3.0 |
| Rueben Chinyelu * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -7.9 |
| Micah Handlogten | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +12.1 |
| Urban Klavzar | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Isaiah Brown | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -10.6 |
* = starter