Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 39 | 8-25 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | -1 | - |
| J. Epps | 33 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 33 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Davis-Fleming | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Achor | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Macura | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. McGhee | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Overton | 36 | 8-19 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Hall | 35 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Pettiford | 29 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Freeman | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams-Adams | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Murphy | 21 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| F. Jović | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter