Model Predictions
| Model | Stonehill Skyhawks | Mercyhurst Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercyhurst Lakers +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stonehill Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Koffi | 37 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Sunderland | 36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Hackett | 27 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| R. Tutic | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Stinson | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Meuser | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| R. Espinal-Guzman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Holden | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Ruth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. McGuinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Martin | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| C. Johnson | 29 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| B. Blunt III | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Lemelman | 28 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Jackson Jr. | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Fuhrmann | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Gamble | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Lang | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Thomas | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter