Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 38 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| M. Gwath | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Byrd | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| BJ Davis | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Simmons | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| P. Compton | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Oden | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins | 37 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| M. Falslev | 32 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Allen | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Elamin | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Clark | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Z. Keller | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Templin | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. King | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Perryman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter