Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Haupt | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Hall | 35 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| U. Tenette | 32 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| T. Buljan | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Albury | 26 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Chol | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| JT Rock | 14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Miller | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Byrd | 32 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Dixon-Waters | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Gwath | 28 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| BJ Davis | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 8-12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 22 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Simmons | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Heide | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| P. Compton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Oden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter