Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler | 36 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Muniz | 32 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Jorgensen | 28 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Booth | 28 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Rechsteiner | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Kiudulas | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. McIver | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Pascarelli | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Mbemba | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Slater | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Byrd | 30 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Simmons | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Heide | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| BJ Davis | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Gwath | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Compton | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter