Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UIC Flames +21 (72-51). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn * | 40 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | -11.1 |
| Owen Larson * | 40 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -11.9 |
| Eli Shetlar * | 38 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Okku Federiko * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -4.0 |
| Jaehshon Thomas * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -6.9 |
| Griffen Goodbary | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -11.3 |
| Isaiah Carr | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| W. Exacte | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Johnson * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +4.8 |
| Mekhi Lowery * | 34 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | +10.7 |
| Rashund Washington Jr. * | 30 | 9-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +6.8 |
| Elijah Crawford * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Abdul Momoh * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7.4 |
| Jayce Nathaniel | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Sam Silverstein | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +7.5 |
| Ante Beljan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.7 |
| Josiah Hammons | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
* = starter