Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Folefac | 40 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 40 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| B. Coyle | 38 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| G. Doty | 38 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| J. Shoats | 38 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Shelton | 40 | 4-13 | 3-12 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Kennedy | 38 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| T. Brogna | 34 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Marrero | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| KC Ugwuakazi | 30 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - |
| T. Dorset | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Veillette | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter