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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hadnot II 40 6-16 1-6 2-5 5 5 2 0 1 15 10 -
M. Stevenson 33 3-10 2-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 8 4 -
M. Nelson 29 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Craig 26 5-11 1-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 12 3 -
D. Elisee 24 7-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 14 8 -
D. Duffy 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Morgan 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Y. Levin 11 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
E. Mosley 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 39 7-13 4-8 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 19 9 -
C.J. O'Hara 38 3-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 3 7 2 -
P. Ruedinger 37 2-3 1-2 6-6 5 8 0 0 1 11 20 -
J. Allen 30 4-12 0-4 5-6 5 3 1 1 1 13 10 -
R. Bethea 21 2-3 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 0 4 8 -
C. Wilkins 20 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
L. Thomas 15 3-4 0-0 2-3 5 3 0 0 1 8 11 -

* = starter