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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Youngstown State Penguins Robert Morris Colonials Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carroll 40 6-16 3-9 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 17 3 -
J. Nelson 30 2-6 0-3 0-1 4 3 1 0 2 4 4 -
V. Salaridze 29 5-10 1-4 7-7 9 0 5 0 3 18 19 -
C. Polak 26 2-8 1-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
B. Dawkins 25 0-6 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Haynes 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
D. King 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Blackshear 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
I. Zorgvol 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Goode 39 4-8 1-2 3-6 11 1 1 2 1 12 18 -
R. Prather Jr. 36 9-17 5-10 1-2 7 2 0 0 1 24 15 -
D. Livingston 36 4-13 2-4 2-2 6 4 3 0 2 12 10 -
T. Smith 21 2-4 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 7 10 -
N. Chitikoudis 21 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
A. Vargas 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
Ka. Brown 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -
S. Obenjo 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
U. Okon 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 1 2 7 -

* = starter