🐻⬇️🏀

Missouri State Bears 66
@
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 69
2026-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - ✓
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - ✓

Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Osei-Bonsu 35 6-10 0-0 7-10 8 5 0 1 3 19 20 -
K. Williams 35 0-6 0-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -
T. Williams Jr. 34 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 11 8 -
K. Palek III 30 7-13 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 15 5 -
M. Cunningham 29 5-10 2-6 1-1 4 1 1 1 0 13 10 -
Z. King 22 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
D. Sutton 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Boone 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bates 40 10-21 1-4 6-6 2 6 0 0 3 27 11 -
A. Thomas II 33 3-6 1-3 0-0 12 2 3 1 0 7 19 -
D. Dudley 32 5-9 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 10 4 -
J. Fenner 32 0-3 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Cooper 19 2-6 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
W. Allen 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
M. Martinez 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Herron 11 3-4 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
S. Williams Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter