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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% -
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% -
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Alston 36 3-5 0-0 3-10 7 0 1 1 3 9 10 -
T. Green 30 5-10 5-10 5-7 1 1 2 0 2 20 12 -
J. Carter 29 6-14 3-7 3-3 3 3 0 0 3 18 7 -
S. Smith 25 3-8 2-5 2-4 3 4 0 1 2 10 8 -
C. Loofe 23 1-3 0-0 6-7 1 0 1 1 1 8 7 -
K. Lands 21 1-6 0-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 4 0 -
A. Oglesby 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Jovanovic 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
M. Whitlock Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bates 40 8-21 3-6 10-13 3 6 6 0 3 29 20 -
A. Thomas II 38 5-10 3-4 2-2 9 0 3 1 0 15 18 -
J. Fenner 29 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 4 0 1 2 5 6 -
D. Dudley 28 6-12 2-5 2-2 1 1 1 1 3 16 5 -
K. Cooper 28 4-5 1-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 9 13 -
W. Allen 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
M. Martinez 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter