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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 29.0% 71.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Pickens 30 2-4 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
J. Jones 29 6-21 1-6 6-8 6 1 0 2 2 19 5 -
J. Osborne 26 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 10 12 -
J. Randall 24 2-9 0-5 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
A. Wrzeszcz 21 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
K. Mullen 20 1-3 0-1 2-5 9 0 0 0 2 4 8 -
E. Elliott 18 3-9 0-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 8 1 -
J. Mims 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Terrell 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
A. Ekwe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Malonga 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Villegas 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nicholas Jr. 38 1-10 0-3 1-2 12 2 1 0 1 3 7 -
K. Natt 35 6-14 1-4 4-6 16 1 2 0 1 17 21 -
J. Coleman 33 5-12 2-4 3-4 4 1 2 0 2 15 8 -
V. Ilic 32 5-11 0-0 3-9 6 3 2 0 2 13 11 -
P. King 25 2-9 1-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 -
J. Walker 21 2-6 1-2 7-10 3 1 2 0 1 12 11 -
M. Dann 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
CJ Beaumont 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter