Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Liberty Flames -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams | 40 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| T. Williams Jr. | 38 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Osei-Bonsu | 34 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Z. King | 30 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Palek III | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Sutton | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Cunningham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Boone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Metheny | 38 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Decker Jr. | 38 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Porter | 37 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Z. Cleveland | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Harper | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Jones Jr. | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Z. Carter | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| JC Shirer Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sorensen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Grimes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Yates | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter