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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 11.8% 88.2% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Liberty Flames -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams 40 5-12 3-6 6-7 3 3 1 0 4 19 10 -
T. Williams Jr. 38 3-7 3-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 10 8 -
M. Osei-Bonsu 34 14-16 0-0 3-7 8 4 1 1 2 31 27 -
Z. King 30 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Palek III 28 2-9 1-4 1-2 9 4 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Sutton 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 6 7 -
M. Cunningham 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
T. Brooks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Boone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Metheny 38 4-12 4-10 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 14 5 -
B. Decker Jr. 38 5-15 2-8 2-3 3 2 1 0 0 14 5 -
C. Porter 37 2-10 0-6 0-0 4 5 3 1 1 4 6 -
Z. Cleveland 35 9-14 0-0 2-4 14 4 1 0 3 20 22 -
J. Smith 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 2 -
J. Harper 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Jones Jr. 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 5 4 -
Z. Carter 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
JC Shirer Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Sorensen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Grimes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Yates 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter