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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Beattie 36 8-15 5-12 1-1 7 5 2 0 1 22 20 -
H. Mayes 34 5-11 2-4 5-5 5 4 0 1 5 17 11 -
L. Beath 33 4-14 0-8 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 11 4 -
A. Chaikin 29 0-8 0-6 3-3 2 2 1 1 2 3 -1 -
B. Dengdit 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
D. Vukicevic 15 3-5 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
A. Burke 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
E. Prospere II 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Vance 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hughes Jr. 40 14-25 6-16 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 34 13 -
J. Davis 35 4-9 0-0 6-9 5 9 1 0 4 14 16 -
J. O'Garro 34 6-10 1-4 2-2 6 4 1 2 1 15 17 -
M. Fofana 32 1-3 0-0 2-2 12 2 1 2 1 4 17 -
G. Lewis 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
J. Brinson 15 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Chisolm 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 2 1 0 1 -
D. Loury 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Evans Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter