Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Beattie | 36 | 8-15 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| H. Mayes | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| L. Beath | 33 | 4-14 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Chaikin | 29 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Dengdit | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Vukicevic | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Burke | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Prospere II | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Vance | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hughes Jr. | 40 | 14-25 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 13 | - |
| J. Davis | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. O'Garro | 34 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Fofana | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| G. Lewis | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Brinson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Chisolm | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Loury | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Evans Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter