Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 39 | 3-15 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Miro Little | 34 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| CJ Shaw | 29 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Colin Smith | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hosana Kitenge | 25 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zion Sensley | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Koat Keat Tong | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 37 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Chappell | 33 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Omer Suljanovic | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Connor Sevilla | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Wilson | 25 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter