Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 35 | 8-22 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Austin Goode | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Peter Bandelj | 33 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jake Davis | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jackson Mosley | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ali Assran | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tom Beattie | 35 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Alex Chaikin | 33 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Hudson Mayes | 31 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 2-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Bol Dengdit | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Vance | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Aidan Burke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter